The LA Clippers and Dallas Mavericks meet in Game 4 of a series that is currently 2-1 in the Clippers' favor.
The Mavericks have been solid opponents for the Clippers, but with star Luka Doncic under an injury cloud, the team from Dallas is going to need a miracle to win this one.
If Doncic can’t go for Game 4, Kristaps Porzingis looks to be more than capable of anchoring the offense - and he will need to!
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With Doncic almost certain to be hampered by that ankle sprain, the Under looks a solid play here at at 52% probability. We've got him down for 29 points so he'll leave a massive hole if he's playing only on one leg. Keen for some action on this game? Get an insane $150 in free bets with PointsBet when you make your first $50 deposit (IN and NJ only).
At face value this seems a little crazy, but our model did correctly predict that Orlando Magic would take Game 1 against the Bucks at +800, so we've gotta trust the data! This particular prediction is based on the assumption that Doncic plays, but if he doesn't, stranger things have happened. The books have the Clippers as heavy favorites (and we predict they'll win), but there is an edge in the market for those brave enough to bet the Mavericks.
If Kristaps Porzingis can step it up, there's no reason to suggest the Mavericks will get totally blown away in this game. Our predictions have the Clippers winning, but only by 7 points, so if that rings true we should be able to cash the +8.5 about the Mavs.
The Under is the play here. With Dallas so reliant on the scoring ability of Doncic, it's hard to see this turning into a shoot-out if he's anything less than 100 per cent healthy. You can review the best legal online sportsbooks in your area, HERE
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*odds are correct at time of publishing