In recent times, NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular prop bets for sports bettors to wager on. All of the major sportsbooks offer NBA odds on first basket scorer, so by using our predictive analytics and artificial intelligence model to identify where the edges lie on Saturday, February 4, 2023, you're giving yourself an advantage over the rest of the field.
Our super computer identifies both value bets and the players with the highest probabilities. While all the usual suspects will often feature in our NBA first basket predictions in the table below, it is unlikely you will ever see the likes of Steph Curry, Kevin Durant, Jason Tatum or Giannis listed as 'value bets' because the odds the sportsbooks put up for those NBA stars are always extremely efficient - and that's where we come in. We find the NBA best bets for you to make, each and every day.
Based on the above first basket scorer probabilities, the players listed below represent the most value in first basket player props markets for NBA games on Saturday, February 4, 2022. While it's obviously impossible for all of these guys to cash tickets for us, we actually don't need them to.
Given some of the first basket odds available, we'd only need one or two of these to hit for us to earn a nice payout.
While the sportsbooks focus on the top two or three guys from each game, we're able to evaluate every player, in every game, to unearth the edges that will give us the upper hand when it comes to long-term profitability.
Remember, the key to long term success when betting is being able to identify where there is an edge in the market, in other words, when the sportsbooks' odds aren't a true reflection of the actual likelihood of something happening.
Anfernee Simons (Trail Blazers) at a 12.18% probability and odds of +1300
Chris Paul (Suns) at a 10.11% probability and odds of +1700
Monte Morris (Wizards) at a 7.91% probability and odds of +2000
Seth Curry (Nets) at a 10.1% probability and odds of +1300
Dorian Finney-Smith (Mavericks) at a 8.1% probability and odds of +1700
Joe Harris (Nets) at a 7.43% probability and odds of +1900
Josh Giddey (Thunder) at a 12.71% probability and odds of +850
De'Andre Hunter (Hawks) at a 8.59% probability and odds of +1400
Kyrie Irving (Nets) at a 15.12% probability and odds of +650
Ayo Dosunmu (Bulls) at a 6.93% probability and odds of +1800
Brook Lopez (Bucks) at a 8.81% probability and odds of +1300
Alec Burks (Pistons) at a 9.23% probability and odds of +1200
Caleb Martin (Heat) at a 6.53% probability and odds of +1900
Jalen Duren (Pistons) at a 10.63% probability and odds of +950
RELATED: The Best NBA Player Props Bets Today
As you're about to see, not all sportsbooks are the same. Some offer good odds for first basket bets, and some don't. Your job is to make sure you're armed with funded sports book accounts for all the major players, so you can capitalize on the edges we identify in these NBA first basket articles.
Why is this important? Well, as you'll see below, our technology scans all the major sportsbooks to identify opportunities to take advantage of those instances where the oddsmakers get it wrong in assessing their NBA first basket markets. And when the sportsbooks get it wrong, it means we can make some money betting on them.
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